To prove it to you once more, see the following probabilities and you'll see that win, it's almost like losing!
Yes, you read that right - win, it is a bit like losing and it is why the confidence of sports bettors is rudely put to the test every day!
Let us explain. Let's say you have success in sports betting. You have a King in the long term by 55%. Let's say that you wager on 3 to 5 parts per day, otherwise said, an average of 4 parts per day. If your King is at 55%, here are the stats that you should expect:
|
Won |
Lost |
Probabilities |
|
4 |
0 |
9.15% |
|
3 |
1 |
29.95% |
|
2 |
2 |
36.75% |
|
1 |
3 |
20.05% |
|
0 |
4 |
4.10% |
So, what does this tells you? This tells you the number of chances that you have a winning day after paying the cost is less than 50%. To get a winning day, you win 3 bets on 4. The chances that happen are 39.1% (29.95% + 9.15%). So, more than 60% of the time, a winning bettor will lose money!
Now you see the problem. A bettor who is 2-2 after very good Paris, then 1-3 or 0-4 and decides he must make the money in its day. He therefore decided to make a more or less rational bet. Then he put too much money on his next bet on the wrong team and it lowered its average 55%.
You must respect your bankroll to place your bets. You must have the discipline to put good bets and accept losing 60.9% of the time to be able to win. Why? Because you can often feel like a loser! Even a good punter which includes all aspects of sports betting may feel lost at the end of the day.
In the end, remember:
- Even if you are a winner at 60%, you lose 52.48% of time you wager!
- Even if there is no air to sense, winning can make you feel as if you lose
- Do not fight against the losing days or losing weeks. There are several. Take a deep breath: these losses are part of your overall result!
